Showing 1 - 10 of 28
Although the properties of the ARCH(∞) model are well investigated, the existence of long memory FIGARCH and IARCH … finite variance FIGARCH and IARCH models and, thus, the possibility of long memory in the ARCH setting was doubtful. The … present paper solves this controversy by showing that FIGARCH and IARCH equations have a non-trivial covariance stationary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460773
Empirical support for the long-run Fisher effect, a hypothesis that a permanent change in inflation leads to an equal change in the nominal interest rate, has been hard to come by. This paper provides a plausible explanation of why past studies have been unable to find support for the long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292360
In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders of integration equal to or higher than 1 in most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060197
ARFIMA, AR, MA, ARMA, GARCH, and STAR models. This is done via examination of ex ante forecasting evidence based on an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266365
-of-sample predictions than AR, MA, ARMA, GARCH, and related models, with very few models being ?better? than ARFIMA models, based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276818
Several central banks have adopted inflation targets. The implementation of these targets is flexible; the central banks aim to meet the target over the long term but allow inflation to deviate from the target in the short-term in order to avoid unnecessary volatility in the real economy. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208665
This paper examines the possibility of unit roots in the presence of endogenously determined multiple structural breaks in the total, female and male labour force participation rates (LFPR) for Australia, Canada and the USA. We extend the procedure of Gil-Alana (2008) for single structural break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500194
Starting with the liberalization of electricity trading, this market grew rapidly over the last decade. However, while spot and future markets are rather liquid nowadays, option trading is still limited. One of the potential reasons for this is that the spot price process of electricity is still...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305714
aggregation of GARCH processes of Drost and Nijman (1993). Using Swedish data, our estimation method produces an overall larger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321544
We compare small-sample properties of Bayes estimation and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of ARMA-GARCH models … method of testing strict stationarity and ergodicity of the conditional variance in the GARCH(1,1) process, near epoch … depencenve (NED), and finiteness of unconditional moments of the GARCH(1,1) process by using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334349