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In this paper, we consider an investor who plays in a market that involves a risky asset whose instantaneous rate of return changes at unknown random times. This return rate is assumed to follow the law of a Compound Poisson Process. We construct optimal mathematical strategies in this context...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858585
We revisit the apparent historical success of technical trading rules on daily prices of the Dow Jones index. First, we use the False Discovery Rate as a new approach to data snooping. The advantage of the FDR over existing methods is that it is more powerful and not restricted only to the best...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857744
We aim to compare financial technical analysis techniques to strategies which depend on a mathematical model. In this paper, we consider the moving average indicator and an investor using a risky asset whose instantaneous rate of return changes at an unknown random time. We construct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858764
We consider consistent tests for stochastic dominance efficiency at any order of a given portfolio with respect to all possible portfolios constructed from a set of assets. We justify block bootstrap approaches to achieve valid inference in a time series setting. The test statistics are computed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858776
Con el propósito de brindar una herramienta que permita una major gestión de riesgos y una adecuada regulación, en este trabajo se aplica una metodología para la medición de riesgo de tasa de interés. Luego de la estimación y simulación de la estructura temporal de tasas de interés se...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716913
This paper introduces a new non-parametric approach to integrate empirical probability functions of the real return for different investment horizons for five portfolios of Swedish stocks and bonds. In our setting the problem reduces to generating new generalizations from an empirical Markov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208423
This paper examines the international diversification benefits subject to portfolio constraints --- in particular, constraints on short selling. We show that the international diversification benefits remain substantial for U.S. equity investors when they are prohibited from short selling in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722162
In this paper we analyze the influence of market climates on mutual fund Sharpe ratios. First, in a theoretical analysis based on a common factor model in performance analysis, we show that a significant bias results from market climate - in addition to the obvious influence of fund management...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857718
This paper investigates model risk issues in the context of mean-variance portfolio selection. We analytically and numerically show that, under model misspecification, the use of statistically robust estimates instead of the widely used classical sample mean and covariance is highly beneficial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858020
The wealth dynamics of insurance companies strongly depends on the success of their investment strategies, but also on liquidity shocks which occur during unfavorable years, when indemnities to be paid to the clients exceed collected premia. An investment strategy that does not take liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858142