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This paper studies the association between the current account and real estate valuation across countries, subject to data availability [43 countries, of which 25 are OECD], during 1990 - 2005. We find robust and strong positive association between current account deficits and the appreciation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285300
the causal connection between lack of exposure to commercial trade and proclivity to sudden stops. On the theoretical … front, I show how exposure to trade raises the creditworthiness of countries and reduces the probability of sudden stops. In … debt is more attractive. Therefore, conditional on the amount that lenders are willing to loan, decreased exposure to trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397715
the causal connection between lack of exposure to commercial trade and proclivity to sudden stops. On the theoretical … front, the paper shows how exposure to trade raises the creditworthiness of countries and reduces the probability of sudden … trade increases the likelihood of default. A sudden stop takes place when the borrowers reject the amount that lenders want …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278261
inflation rate. We find that trilemma policy configurations affect output volatility through the investment or trade channel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331079
In assessing Alexander Swoboda's great influence on economics, two themes stand out: the determinants of global inflation, particularly in the 1970s, and the choice of an exchange rate regime consistent with domestic monetary and fiscal policies. Although seemingly narrowly focused on China, our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304732
India's growing economic strength of recent years has seen it adapting its foreign policy to increase its global influence and status and to meet the challenges of the 21st century. In the past few years, New Delhi has expanded its strategic vision, most noticeably in Asia, and has broadened the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807618
peso is unsustainable. Given the meager growth of the world economy and trade, globalization is being questioned and … problems, but also on the world economy and expectations. For this reason, the reliance on capital inflows to appreciate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581887
The need for external capital (FDI) inflow to finance the current account deficit of developing countries cannot be …. How would an increase in FDI and a reduction in import tariff levels in isolation affect household welfare and other … FDI inflow for a developing economy is the increase in current consumption. It also establishes that policies which ensure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343383
Using the indexes we developed (Aizenman, Chinn, and Ito, 2008) to measure the degree of the three policy choices countries make with respect to the trilemma: exchange rate stability, monetary independence, and capital account openness, we investigate the normative questions pertaining to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287751
We develop a methodology that intuitively characterizes the choices countries have made with respect to the trilemma during the post Bretton-Woods period. The paper first outlines the new metrics for measuring the degree of exchange rate flexibility, monetary independence, and capital account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287768