corresponding to the stipulated inflation target. The age model is also considerably better than the consensus forecasts and it is …Time series regressions indicate that age structure has significant forecasting power on Swedish inflation. The results …

Various inflation forecasting models are compared using a simulated out-of-sample forecasting framework. We focus on … the question of whether monetary aggregates are useful for forecasting inflation, but unlike previous work we examine a … are also reported on. The first shows that cointegration vector parameter estimation error is crucial when using VEC …

method to the extraction of core inflation and forecasting of UK inflation in the recent past. …

This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …

explaining the deviations of household inflation and unemployment expectations from the rational expectations benchmark … demographic groups have sharply different predictions for macroeconomic aggregates like the inflation rate …

If firms borrow working capital to finance production, then nominal interest rates have a direct influence on inflation … empirical importance in explaining inflation dynamics in the US and in the euro area. …

We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates … always in reaction to Fed announcements; and, (v) our impulse responses demonstrate that odds of extreme inflation outcomes …

pronounced increase of aggregate US producer price inflation. …