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In this paper, we examine the evolution of the S&P500 returns volatility around market crashes using a Markov …-Switching model. We find that volatility typically switches into the high volatility state well before a crash and remains in the high … volatility by uniformed traders result in a crash. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294846
autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is … substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return … spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277265
to overall realized variation and their contribution to predictive regressions of realized volatility. We find evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282828
India. Academic research is conceptualised as a research production process where research inputs (like research time and …. Our results clearly identify several drivers of academic research and patenting in India, in terms of faculty background … India. In particular, we argue that putting in place institutional structures will not serve the purpose without addressing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807653
This paper evaluates the impact of international reserves, terms of trade shocks and capital flows on the real exchange rate (REER). We observe that international reserves cushions the impact of TOT shocks on the REER, and that this effect is important for developing but not for industrial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322720
The aim of this paper is to demonstrate how the change in actual and potential market risks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) during the two-year period 2007-2008 can be analyzed with the help of-analysis. In the empirical analysis, the average of the Lyapunov exponents for the dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321428
This paper evaluates the impact of international reserves, terms of trade shocks and capital flows on the real exchange rate (REER). We observe that international reserves cushions the impact of TOT shocks on the REER, and that this effect is important for developing but not for industrial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285305
In recent years, numerous volatility-based derivative products have been engineered. This has led to interest in … constructing conditional predictive densities and confidence intervals for integrated volatility. In this paper, we propose … nonparametric estimators of the aforementioned quantities, based on model free volatility estimators. We establish consistency and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282862
In recent years, numerous volatility-based derivative products have been engineered. This has led to interest in … constructing conditional predictive densities and confidence intervals for integrated volatility. In this paper, we propose … realized volatility measures, which are constructed using the ex post variation of asset prices. A set of sufficient conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282869
In this paper, we explore the link between stress in the domestic financial sector and the capital flight faced by countries in the 2008-9 global crisis. Both the timing of emergence of internal financial stress in developing economies, and the size of the peak-trough declines in the stock price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287772