Showing 1 - 10 of 871
This paper offers empirical evidence that real exchange rate volatility can have a signi.cant impact on the long … with relatively low levels of financial development, exchange rate volatility generally reduces growth, whereas for … rate volatility, and outliers. We also offer a simple monetary growth model in which real exchange rate uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430059
A growing body of recent macroeconomic evidence suggests that volatility is detrimental to economic growth. The … channels through which volatility affects growth, however, are less clear; substantive evidence based on disaggregate data is … almost non-existent. This paper offers a framework in which policy volatility has an adverse effect on firms' entry into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278247
common specification, and common estimation methods, we argue that the contradictory findings can be explained by the fact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430062
autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is … substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return … spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277265
This study assesses macroeconomic volatility in Costa Rica, based largely on politically weak governments` inability or … unwillingness to effect key reforms. Notable problems include volatility-prone fiscal and monetary policy, structurally weak public …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327135
Market expectations of future return volatility play a crucial role in finance; so too does our understanding of the … informativeness of volatility forecasts produced by ARCH models versus the volatility forecasts derived from option prices and in … improving volatility forecasts produced by ARCH and option models and combinations of models. Daily and monthly data are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397639
This paper evaluates the impact of international reserves, terms of trade shocks and capital flows on the real exchange rate (REER). We observe that international reserves cushions the impact of TOT shocks on the REER, and that this effect is important for developing but not for industrial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322720
This paper evaluates the impact of international reserves, terms of trade shocks and capital flows on the real exchange rate (REER). We observe that international reserves cushions the impact of TOT shocks on the REER, and that this effect is important for developing but not for industrial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285305
This paper provides a dynamic analysis of the responsiveness of asset markets to monetary policy path revisions. In an era of increased transparency and gradualism in policy making, one might expect an increased response to path revisions in asset markets as the policy actions become more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277266
In this paper, we explore the link between stress in the domestic financial sector and the capital flight faced by countries in the 2008-9 global crisis. Both the timing of emergence of internal financial stress in developing economies, and the size of the peak-trough declines in the stock price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287772