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We use a quantitative equilibrium model with houses, collateralized debt and foreign borrowing to study the impact of global imbalances on the U.S. economy in the 2000s. Our results suggest that the dynamics of foreign capital flows account for between one fourth and one third of the increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352184
competitive devaluations. The sheer size of China, and its lower sterilization costs suggests that China may be the winner of a … and precautionary motives in the context of China may be challenged by a version of the peso problem; Hoarding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285334
to the relative size of the countries' GDP. We conclude that the continuation of the fast growth rate of China, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285339
In this paper we evaluate the current account patterns of China and Germany. We point out that China's current account … of China, has mostly been characterized by sizable surpluses. We further find that both China and Germany's current … current account trends in future decades. Demographic transitions in China and Germany are projected to reduce their surpluses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287750
In this paper we evaluate the current account patterns of China and Germany. We point out that China's current account … of China, has mostly been characterized by sizable surpluses. We further find that both China and Germany's current … current account trends in future decades. Demographic transitions in China and Germany are projected to reduce their surpluses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288165
In recent research age distribution effects on the current account have been found in cross-country panel regressions. The reason is different effects on saving and investment from cohort-size variation. In a panel of annual OECD data 1960-1995, we find that the age effects on saving are similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321710
This paper evaluates the impact of international reserves, terms of trade shocks and capital flows on the real exchange rate (REER). We observe that international reserves cushions the impact of TOT shocks on the REER, and that this effect is important for developing but not for industrial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322720
This paper investigates the factors explaining exchange market pressures (EMP) and the hoarding and use of international reserves (IR) by emerging markets during the 2000s, as the Great Moderation turned to the 2008-9 global crisis and great recession. According to our results, both financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333066
We propose a macroprudential theory of foreign reserve accumulation that can rationalize the secular trends in public and private international capital flows. In middle-income countries, the increase in international reserves has been associated with elevated private capital inflows, both in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013364537
This paper evaluates the impact of international reserves, terms of trade shocks and capital flows on the real exchange rate (REER). We observe that international reserves cushions the impact of TOT shocks on the REER, and that this effect is important for developing but not for industrial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285305