Showing 1 - 10 of 912
find that a contractionary US monetary policy shock leads to a persistent fall in international output, a drop in global … negative shock to foreign real GDP growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370122
We analyze several identification frameworks based on operating procedures to measure monetary policy in a small open economy. We use a two-stage non-recursive VAR model to identify monetary shocks. We construct then various overall monetary policy indicators based on different residuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430022
We study the transmission of monetary shocks and monetary policy with a behavioral model, corrected for potential misspecification using the DSGE-VAR framework elaborated by DelNegro and Schorfheide (2004). In particular, we investigate if the central bank should react to movements in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430077
Markov-switching structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model. The theorem applies to models with both linear and some … restricted to only time-varying shock variances dominate the other models. We find a persistent post-1993 regime that is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397645
We use a mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR model as an out-of-sample forecasting tool to test whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly strong evidence that including money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321554
preferred model, almost 30 percent of the maximum effect of a shock still remains after ten years. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321638
preferred model, almost 30 percent of the maximum effect of a shock still remains after ten years. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317906
inflation/unemployment responses to money growth shocks. SVAR (structural vector autoregression) and GMM (generalised method of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280760
economic outlook rather than with the response to an exogenous shock; (iv) the few notable instances of the latter response are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030329
Central banks regularly monitor select financial and macroeconomic variables in order to obtain early indication of the impact of monetary policies. This practice is discussed on the Federal Reserve Bank of New York website, for example, where one particular set of macroeconomic indicators is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282848