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To evaluate measures of expectations I examine and compare some of the most common methods for capturing expectations: the futures method which utilizes financial market prices, the VAR forecast method, and the survey method. I study average expectations on the Federal funds rate target, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321584
Economic theory predicts a negative relationship between inventories and the real interest rate, but previous empirical studies (mostly based on the older stock adjustment model) have found little evidence of such a relationship. We derive parametric tests for the role of the interest rate in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333073
This paper analyzes the determinants of the interest rate of short-term unsecured loan inter-bank market (call) in Argentina. The results show that the heterogeneous nature of the entities, in terms of size and origin of ownership, impacts on the interest rate agreed. Other additional aspects,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325101
depend not only on the level of the discount factor but also on its volatility. Collusive prices and proÞts increase with a … higher discount factor level, but decrease with its volatility. These results have important implications not only for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318903
We review and construct consistent in-sample specification and out-of-sample model selection tests on conditional distributions and predictive densities associated with continuous multifactor (possibly with jumps) and (non)linear discrete models of the short term interest rate. The results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282832
accession negotiations with Turkey. Various recent analyses assess the cost of applying the Common Agricultural Policy of the EU … (CAP) to Turkey without taking into account the specific structure of the agricultural sector in Turkey, which would … to Turkey, if Turkey should accede in 2014. The analysis is based on macroeconomic projections from the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343385
East Asian experience as the principal benchmark for comparison, this paper examines whether Turkey is on its way to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273648
, economic instability in Turkey, prior intentions to stay abroad and work experience in Turkey also increase non-return. Female …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273650
emerging market countries. Underlying this policy exceptionalism were the constraints posed by Turkey's pre-existing policy and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273655
The new era of Post-Washington Consensus (PWC) promoted under the auspices of multilateral organizations such as IMF and the World Bank centres on the need to develop strong regulatory institutions, especially the realm of banking and finance in developing countries. By focusing on the Turkish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273659