Showing 1 - 10 of 94
of the modern business cycle: financial-crisis recessions are more costly than normal recessions in terms of lost output …; and for both types of recession, more credit-intensive expansions tend to be followed by deeper recessions and slower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318835
integrated global financial markets. Third, how costly are recessions that followed these types of crises? Although the latest … comparisons indicate that recessions associated with periods of deep financial disruptions result in much larger declines in real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273680
This paper analyzes the long-run relationship between output collapses-defined defined as GDP falling substantially below trend - and total factor productivity (TFP), using a panel of 71 developed and developing countries during the period 1960-2003 to identify episodes of output collapse and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278252
There has been much interest recently in the relationship between economic conditions and mortality, with some studies showing that mortality is pro-cyclical, while others find the opposite. Some suggest that the aggregation level of analysis (e.g. individual vs. regional) matters. We use both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208785
This paper assesses the prospects of a 2021 time bomb in small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) failures triggered by the generous support policies enacted during the 2020 COVID-19 crisis. Policies implemented in 2020, on their own, do not create a 2021 time bomb for SMEs. Rather, business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653494
recessions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661549
This paper examines trends in household consumption and saving behaviour in each of the last three recessions in the UK … expenditure than was seen in previous recessions, and the distributional pattern across individuals differs. The young have cut …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500198
-cycle framework how individuals respond to recessions. Our focus is on the sharp increase in savings rates that have been observed in … the current and recent recessions. We show empirically that these saving spikes were short-lived and common to all working … age groups. We then study life-cycle models in which recessions involve one or more of: (i) an aggregate permanent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500212
Like other macroeconomic variables, residential investment has become much less volatile since the mid-1980s (recent experience notwithstanding.) This paper explores the role of structural change in this decline. Since the the early 1980s there have been many changes in the underlying structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292099
This paper develops a Walrasian equilibrium theory of establishment level dynamics and matching frictions and uses it to evaluate the effects of congestion externalities in the matching process and determine the government interventions that are needed to implement a Pareto optimal allocation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292153