During Europe's sovereign-debt crisis, interest rate spreads have been highly correlated with the share of multilateral loans that were considered senior to private markets. As both variables are potentially endogenous, we follow two different approaches to analyze the direction of causality....

The recent increase of interest rate spreads in Europe and their apparent detachment from underlying fundamental variables has generated a debate on multiple equilibria in the sovereign bond market (see Grauwe and Ji (2012)). We critically evaluate this hypothesis, by pointing towards an...

In this paper, we study the economic benets from using credit scoring models. We contribute to the literature by relating the discriminatory power of a credit scoring model to the optimal credit decision. Given the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve of the credit scoring model, we...

Information frictions make foreign trade risky. Therefore, many countries offer export credit guarantees that insure export transactions against buyers' default. We investigate the causal effects of guarantees on firm performance. To overcome selection bias, we employ a quasi-experimental design...

In the wake of the global financial crisis, several large bank rescues by governments further entrenched bail-out expectations in the wider public. Then, following a problematic ad-hoc bail-in in Cyprus early 2013, EU rules introduced provisions for 'bail-in', that is, the administrative power...

We use survival analysis to analyse the impact of export credit guarantees on firms' export duration using granular Swedish panel data at the firm-country and firm-country-product levels. The estimation results show that firms' export survival substantially increases with guarantees, at both...

Das Papier analysiert die EU-Richtlinie zum vorinsolvenzlichen Verfahren (2016/0359 (COD)) vor dem Hintergrund der anhaltend lockeren Geldpolitik aus ordnungspolitischer Perspektive. Es wird gezeigt, dass die Voraussetzungen geschaffen werden, durch strategische Kreditvergabe an Unternehmen im...

This paper considers the social costs implied by inefficient allocation of contracts in a first price, sealed bid procurement auction with asymmetric bidders. We adopt a constrained (piecewise linear) strategy equilibrium concept and estimate the structural parameters of the bidders'...

India's economic standing and its policy landscape have come a long way since the 1943 Bengal famine. History saw buffer stocking of food grains as a famine-combating tool. Today, apart from serving as an effective hedge in times of famines, such grain stocks are a conduit deployed by the...

The United States government recently passed legislation and stabilization packages to respond to the COVID-19 (i.e., coronavirus disease 2019) outbreak by providing paid sick leave, tax credits, and free virus testing; expanding food assistance and unemployment benefits; and increasing Medicaid...