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EU countries, vis a vis the US dollar, before and after the advent of the euro. Standard as well as nonlinear unit root …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273678
default. It is argued that the current crisis in Europe illustrates why the euro is not a real contender for hegemony in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281749
This paper empirically evaluates the predictive performance of the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) exchange rate assessments with respect to future exchange rate movements. The assessments of real trade-weighted exchange rates were conducted from 2006 to 2011, and were based on three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011629987
An often heard view is that exchange rate variability will decrease for a country that joins the EMU. This is not necessarily true. Both real and nominal exchange rate variability increase under certain circumstances when asymmetric demand shocks occur inside or outside the union. These results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321810
Central banks invest their foreign exchange reserves predominantly in government bonds. The global accumulation of reserves therefore affects the equilibrium in the market for government bonds of reserve currency countries. By means of a panel data analysis we examine the relationship between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343288
A technical analysis shows that the doomsayers who support the euro at all costs and those who naively theorize that a … single currency is the root of all evil are both wrong. A euro exit could be a way of getting back to growth, but at the same … the euro; or, in the case of a euro exit, on the quality of the economic policies that are put in place once the country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011545300
suitable to its specific economic, social, and political context. Alternatively, the euro area will have to create a fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266537
countries, as well as evidence for persistence and network externalities. Exploiting the creation of the Euro, the paper finds a … large and significant Euro liquidity effect at the cost of the dollar, especially in the early years of the life of the new … currency. The estimates suggest that the Euro is making significant progress toward threatening the role of the dollar as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278268
We develop a simple general equilibrium framework to study the effect of the exchange rate system on trade and welfare. An important feature of the model is deviations from purchasing power parity, caused by rigid price setting in buyers' currency. We find the following. First, exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430004
This paper examines the relationship between the exchange rate regime and trade flows using a general equilibrium model based on Bacchetta and van Wincoop (AER, 2000). We show that in general the link between trade and the exchange rate regime is ambiguous and that it depends in particular on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430021