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We assess quantitatively the effect of exogenous health improvements on output per capita. Our simulation model allows for a direct effect of health on worker productivity, as well as indirect effects that run through schooling, the size and age-structure of the population, capital accumulation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284028
time input into child-rearing, and crowding of fixed natural resources. The model is parameterized using a combination of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287727
We present a model of growth and distributional conflict that implies a non-monotonic relationship between average wealth and the likelihood of radical redistribution: while the net benefits of redistribution for members of the poor class are small at low stages of development, a shift towards...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430034
While the direct impact of geographic endowments on prosperity is present in all countries, in former colonies, geography has also affected colonization policies and, therefore, institutional outcomes. Using non-colonized countries as a control group, I develop an empirical strategy that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430076
Having efficient and accurate samplers for simulating the posterior distribution is crucial for Bayesian analysis. We develop a generic posterior simulator called the "dynamic striated Metropolis-Hastings (DSMH)" sampler. Grounded in the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, it draws its strengths from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310190
Within a decision-making group, such as the monetary-policy committee of a central bank,group members often hold differing views about the future of key economic variables. Such differences of opinion can be thought of as reflecting differing sets of judgement. This paper suggests modelling each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321568
activity. At the same time, the shocks we identify are significantly correlated across countries. In order to account for … shows that confidence shocks play some role in business cycle fluctuations. At the same time, we show that confidence shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368265
Standard presentations of stock-flow consistent modeling use specific Post Keynesian closures, even though a given stock-flow accounting structure supports various different economic dynamics. In this paper we separate the dynamic closure from the accounting constraints and cast the latter in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011545314
macroeconomic theory. For this purpose, we explicitly present two competing paradigms, the new-Keynesian and the post-Keynesian one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011997038
This paper considers a plan proposed by Warren Buffett, in which importers would be required to obtain certificates proportional to the amount of non-oil goods (and possibly also services) they brought into the country. These certificates would be granted to firms that exported goods. Exporting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266564