Showing 1 - 10 of 314
This paper empirically examines the effect of population growth on real interest rates. Although this effect is well founded in macroeconomic theory, the corresponding empirical results have been rather tenuous. Demographic interest rate theories are typically based on long-term relationships...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374270
By providing five different criticisms of the notion of real rate, the paper argues that this concept, as Fisher defined it or as a definition, is not relevant to economic analysis. Following Keynes and other post-Keynesians, the article shows that the notion of real rate is microeconomically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276900
We undertake a variance decomposition of index-linked bond returns for the US, UK and Iceland. In all cases, news about future excess returns is the key driver though only for Icelandic bonds are returns independent of inflation.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280746
A notable feature of the Japanese economy in the last two decades is the large fluctuations in asset prices. We examine whether they can by accounted for by a stochastic growth model with habit persistence and costly capital adjustment. For the real estate price, people’s expectations on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318972
the US 1930s, Japan 1990s and recently in the US and Europe. The paper introduces a new balance sheet channel that links …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335985
Das Papier untersucht die Veränderung der Sparkultur in Japan während mehr als 30 Jahren Niedrig-, Null- und … Kreditvergabe. Es wird gezeigt, wie durch die anhaltend lockere Geldpolitik der Bank von Japan die Sparkultur in Japan grundlegend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012608397
This paper econometrically models Japanese yen (JPY)-denominated interest rate swap yields. It examines whether the short-term interest rate exerts an influence on the long-term JPY swap yield after controlling for several key macroeconomic variables, such as core inflation, the growth of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014474486
Japan has experienced stagnation, deflation, and low interest rates for decades. It is caught in a liquidity trap. This … paper examines Japan's liquidity trap in light of the structure and performance of the country's economy since the onset of … understanding Japan's liquidity trap but also for formulating and implementing policies that can overcome the liquidity trap and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011784652
Aggregate housing demand shocks are an important source of house price fluctuations in the standard macroeconomic models, and through the collateral channel, they drive macroeconomic fluctuations. These reduced-form shocks, however, fail to generate a highly volatile price-to-rent ratio that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030286
We argue that positive comovements between land prices and business investment are a driving force behind the broad impact of land-price dynamics on the macroeconomy. We develop an economic mechanism that captures the comovements by incorporating two key features into a DSGE model: we introduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292308