Showing 1 - 10 of 231
Empirical support for the long-run Fisher effect, a hypothesis that a permanent change in inflation leads to an equal … to the inflation rate following a monetary shock has not occurred in the industrialized countries of Australia, Austria … United Kingdom, and the United States. Instead, this paper shows that inflation in these countries follows a mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292360
This chapter builds on previous work by Bhardwaj and Swanson (2004) who address the notion that many fractional I(d) processes may fall into the empty box" category, as discussed in Granger (1999). However, rather than focusing primarily on linear models, as do Bhardwaj and Swanson, we analyze...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266365
This paper addresses the notion that many fractional I(d) processes may fall into the ?empty box? category, as discussed in Granger (1999). We present ex ante forecasting evidence based on an updated version of the absolute returns series examined by Ding, Granger and Engle (1993) that suggests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276818
ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation … yields a good description of the salient features, including skewness and heteroskedasticity, of the US inflation data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287778
ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation … yields a good description of the salient features, including skewness and heteroskedasticity, of the US inflation data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288125
In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders of integration equal to or higher than 1 in most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060197
Several central banks have adopted inflation targets. The implementation of these targets is flexible; the central … banks aim to meet the target over the long term but allow inflation to deviate from the target in the short-term in order to … AFRIMA model. Under the assumption that the central bankers control the long-run inflation rates, the fractional integration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208665
This paper examines the possibility of unit roots in the presence of endogenously determined multiple structural breaks in the total, female and male labour force participation rates (LFPR) for Australia, Canada and the USA. We extend the procedure of Gil-Alana (2008) for single structural break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500194
We consider changes in the degree of persistence of a process when the degree of persistence is characterized as the order of integration of a strongly dependent process. To avoid the risk of incorrectly specifing the data generating process we employ local Whittle estimates which uses only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927997
Although the properties of the ARCH(∞) model are well investigated, the existence of long memory FIGARCH and IARCH solution was not established in the literature. These two popular ARCH type models which are widely used in applied literature, were causing theoretical controversy because of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460773