This paper shows that in ation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, the inflation rates … variance share that is associated with Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to … comovement of inflation comes largely from common shocks. Global Inflation is a function of real developments at short horizons …

are also reported on. The first shows that cointegration vector parameter estimation error is crucial when using VEC …Various inflation forecasting models are compared using a simulated out-of-sample forecasting framework. We focus on … the question of whether monetary aggregates are useful for forecasting inflation, but unlike previous work we examine a …

We study the extent of global inflation synchronization using a dynamic factor model in a large set of countries over a … emerging market and developing economies) and to analyze commonalities in inflation synchronization across a wide range of … inflation measures. We report three major results. First, inflation movements have become increasingly synchronized …

This paper introduces a global database that contains inflation series: (i) for a wide range of inflation measures … (headline, food, energy, and core consumer price inflation; producer price inflation; and gross domestic product deflator … available sources, our database constitutes a comprehensive, single source for inflation series. We illustrate the potential use …

Empirical models of inflation often incorporate equilibrium correction effects based upon levels of prices and input … permanent shifts in the markup factor through estimating an inflation equation that includes a time-varying intercept. The model …

This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …