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-cycle framework how individuals respond to recessions. Our focus is on the sharp increase in savings rates that have been observed in … times. We show that the rise in the aggregate savings ratio is driven by increases in uncertainty, rather than tighening of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500212
experiments show that the numerical effect on the savings rate of age structure changes is substantial when the indirect effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143636
Earnings dynamics are much richer than typically assumed in macro models with heterogeneous agents. This holds for individual-pre-tax and household-post-tax earnings and across administrative (Social Security Administration) and survey (Panel Study of Income Dynamics) data. We study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012144204
This paper analyses several severe financial crises observed in the history of capitalism which led to a longer period of stagnation or low growth. Comparative case studies of the Great Depression, the Latin American debt crisis of the 1980s and the Japanese crisis of the 1990s and 2000s are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332604
This paper presents an empirical analysis of the relationship between fiscal illusion and the shadow economy for 104 countries over the period 1989-2009. We argue that both unobservable phenomena are closely linked to each other, as the creation of a fiscal illusion may be helpful if governments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368253
This study aims to develop an ecological stock-flow consistent (SFC) model based on the Latin American-stylized facts regarding economic, financial, and environmental features. We combine the macro-financial theoretical framework by Pérez-Caldentey et al. (2021, 2023) and the ecological...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014474484
The paper analyzes exchange rate regimes implemented by the major Latin American countries since the Second World War, with special attention on the period of the second globalization process beginning in the 1970s. The analysis follows a historical narrative aiming to provide an understanding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287866
We use a new panel dataset of credit card accounts to analyze how consumers responded to the 2001 federal income tax rebates. We estimate the monthly response of credit card payments, spending, and debt, exploiting the unique, randomized timing of the rebate disbursement. We find that on average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292101
The consumption of households with liquid financial assets responds much more to transitory income shocks than the permanent-income hypothesis predicts. That is, middle class households with assets act as if they face liquidity constraints. This paper addresses this puzzling observation with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292143
Previous studies on financial frictions have been unable to establish the empirical significance of credit constraints in macroeconomic fluctuations. This paper argues that the muted impact of credit constraints stems from the absence of a mechanism to explain the observed persistent comovements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292216