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The existing literature on fiscal policy has mainly employed linear models that found a small fiscal multiplier in developing economies. These findings challenge the importance and e↵ectiveness of fiscal policy for these countries. However, linear models are not capable of distinguishing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547780
This paper provides evidence that austerity shocks have long-run negative effects on GDP. Besides addressing the important gap in the growing fiscal research regarding the short time horizon of the estimations, this paper analyzes two other important assumptions made in the literature regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480474
In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders of integration equal to or higher than 1 in most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060197
the determination of the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU) over the last four decades. The authors … of imports, and aggregate capacity utilization were determinants of the NAIRU during the period. The same evidence also … shows that technical progress and changes in long-term unemployment did not affect the NAIRU. We believe this evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266535
NAIRU. The labour macro literature tries to explain unemployment dynamics and determine the real economic factors that drive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281022
Cross-country differences of market hours in 17 countries belonging to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development are mainly due to the hours of women, especially low-skilled women. This paper develops a model to account for the gender-skill differences in market hours across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030260
This working paper provides a survey of the theoretical underpinnings for the various employment guarantee schemes, and discusses full employment policy experiences in the United States, Sweden, India, Argentina, and France. The theoretical and policy developments are delineated in a historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266460
There is now widespread recognition that in most countries, private-sector investment has not been able to absorb surplus labor. This is all the more the case for poor unskilled people. Public works programs and employment guarantee schemes in South Africa, India, and other countries provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266476
The monetarist counterrevolution and the stagflation period of the 1970s were among the theoretical and practical developments that led to the rejection of fiscal policy as a useful tool for macroeconomic stabilization and full employment determination. Recent mainstream contributions, however,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266483
This study proposes a simple modification to a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) in order to analyze the multiplier effects of a new sector. A different input composition, or technology, of the sector makes a conventional analysis of final-demand injections on existing sectors invalid. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266515