Showing 1 - 10 of 1,540
to overall realized variation and their contribution to predictive regressions of realized volatility. We find evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282828
We develop likelihood-based tests for autocorrelation and predictability in a first order non-Gaussian and noninvertible ARMA model. Tests based on a special case of the general model, referred to as an all-pass model, are also obtained. Data generated by an all-pass process are uncorrelated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500219
This paper examines persistence in the Ukrainian stock market during the recent financial crisis. Using two different long memory approaches (R/S analysis and fractional integration) we show that this market is inefficient and the degree of persistence is not the same in different stages of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046301
The topic of volatility measurement and estimation is central to financial and more generally time series econometrics …. In this paper, we begin by surveying models of volatility, both discrete and continuous, and then we summarize some … developments in volatility models, with focus on time varying and stochastic volatility as well as nonparametric volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282858
We introduce a time series model that captures both long memory and conditional heteroskedasticity and assess their ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation and uses a normal mixture GARCH process to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288125
This study explores the benefits of incorporating fat-tailed innovations, asymmetric volatility response, and an … extended information set into crude oil return modeling and forecasting. To this end, we utilize standard volatility models … Stochastic Volatility (SV), along with Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regressions, which enable us to incorporate the impacts of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014331159
Stock and oil relationship is usually time-varying and depends on the current economic conditions. In this study, we propose a new Dynamic Stochastic Mixed data frequency sampling (DSM) copula model, that decomposes the stock-oil relationship into a short-run dynamic stochastic component and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013331916
Stock and bond are the two most crucial assets for portfolio allocation and risk management. This study proposes generalized autoregressive score mixed frequency data sampling (GAS MIDAS) copula models to analyze the dynamic dependence between stock returns and bond returns. A GAS MIDAS copula...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012654485
This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns … volatility clustering in clock-time returns, even when trade- time returns are Gaussian. Finally, we highlight conditions on the … directing process which are required in order to generate proper volatility dynamics while simultaneously matching the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011406341
proxy for σ2t. We show that some commonly used criteria for evaluation of volatility models, may induce a different … provide an additional argument for using intra-day data to approximate σ2t , such as realized volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318932