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We discuss the issues that arise in modeling the notion of common belief of rationality in epistemic models of dynamic games, in particular at the level of interpretation of strategies. A strategy in a dynamic game is defined as a function that associates with every information set a choice at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011545295
We study common belief of rationality in strategic-form games with ordinal utilities, employing a model of qualitative beliefs. We characterize the three main solution concepts for such games, viz., Iterated Deletion of Strictly Dominated Strategies (IDSDS), Iterated Deletion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011936491
We consider a basic logic with two primitive uni-modal operators: one for certainty and the other for plausibility. The former is assumed to be a normal operator (corresponding - semantically - to a binary Kripke relation), while the latter is merely a classical operator (corresponding -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011936494
We characterize the class of n-person belief systems for which common belief has the properties of the strongest logic of belief, KD45. The characterizing condition states that individuals are not too mistaken in their beliefs about common beliefs. It is shown to be considerably weaker than the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940923
The interaction bietween knowledge and belief in a temporal context is analyzed. An axiomatic formulation and semantic characterization of the principle of belief persistency implied by the standard conditionalization rule are provided. This principle says that an individual does not change her...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940927
Aumann (1976) put forward a formal definition of common knowledge and used it to prove that two ""like minded"" individuals cannot ""agree to disagree"" in the following sense. If they start from a common prior and update the probability of an event E (using Bayes'' rule) on the basis of private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940947
We provide an introduction to interactive belief systems from a qualitative and semantic point of view. Properties of belief hierarchies are formulated locally. Among the properties considered are ""Common belief in no error"" (which has been shown to have important game theoretic applications),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940948
We give an introduction to the literature on the epistemic foundations of solution concepts in game theory. Only normal-form games are considered. The solution concepts analyzed are rationalizability, strong rationalizability, correlated equilibrium and Nash equilibrium. The analysis is carried...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940950
We consider interactive epistemic models where individuals are described by both their ""knowledge"" and their ""beliefs."" Three intersubjective consistency conditions are examined: Intersubjective Caution (if an individual believes something to be common belief then he knows it to be common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940958
When we make a non-trivial prediction about the future we select, among the conceivable future descriptions of the world, those that appear to us to be most likely. Within a branching-time framework we capture this by means of two binary relations, c and p. If t1 and t2 are different points in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940966