expected change in earnings, our study investigates how firms manage their earnings forecast strategy once they have decided to … to adopt a multiple earnings forecast (a portfolio) approach in the statutory sanctions period, particularly for the … conservative in their earnings forecasting compared to those expecting worse earnings performance. Although this asymmetrical …

Time series regressions indicate that age structure has significant forecasting power on Swedish inflation. The results … effects are also relatively well in accordance with what could be expected from life-cycle theory. In the forecasting exercise … the age model outperforms the estimated benchmarks; i.e. two autoregressive models, an ARIMA and the 2 per cent forecast …

Models based on economic theory have serious problems at forecasting exchange rates better than simple univariate … this paper, we propose to forecast exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR (BVAR), using a panel of 33 exchange rates vis … forecasting. In addition, we adopt a driftless random walk prior, so that cross-dynamics matter for forecasting only if there is …

forecast complexity. We aim to identify model elements which are crucial for the valuation of project finance in practice … analyze their impact on the valuation result. For forecast complexity, we apply different volatility and correlation … forecasting techniques, e.g. correlation forecasts based on historical values and on a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model …

forecasting model for another variable, and hence our use of terminology such as ?out-of-sample Granger causality? (see e …