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Can green growth policies help protect the environment while keeping the industry growing and infrastructure expanding? This study applies Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method on the 50-years' time series data, from 1967 to 2015, of Kitakyushu City, Japan, and found mixed evidence for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865070
This paper uses a modi.ed Harrodian model to understand both the long period of rapid Japanese growth and the recent period of stagnation. The model has multiple steady-growth solutions when the labour supply is highly elastic, and government intervention, we argue, took the Japanese economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287845
Modern Money Theory (MMT) has generated considerable scrutiny and discussions over the past decade. While it has gained some acceptance in the financial sector and among some politicians, it has come under strong criticisms from all sides of the academic spectrum and from conservative political...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818360
This paper empirically explores the relationship between debt and growth for a number of developing and industrial economies. For developing countries, we find that lower total external debt levels are associated with higher growth rates, and that this negative relationship is driven by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208488
Few would dispute that sovereign defaults entail significant economic costs, including, most notably, important output losses. However, most of the evidence supporting this conventional wisdom, based on annual observations, suffers from serious measurement and identification problems. To address...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278292
common specification, and common estimation methods, we argue that the contradictory findings can be explained by the fact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430062
The author identifies sources of volatility in Argentina that include weak international financial links, a recurrent credit crunch and financial underdevelopment problem, a fragile fiscal situation, and a pervasive profit and collateral squeeze mechanism brought about by a rigid labor market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327170
using recursive estimation windows, which dominate other windowing approaches in our experiments, prediction models … advantages of using recursive estimation strategies, and provide new evidence of the usefulness of yield and yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282841
'target' variable to be predicted, using only 'first release' data in model estimation and prediction construction yields mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282871
This paper revisits a number of data-rich prediction methods, like factor models, Bayesian ridge regression and forecast combinations, which are widely used in macroeconomic forecasting, and compares these with a lesser known alternative method: partial least squares regression. Under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284202