Showing 1 - 10 of 951
In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders of integration equal to or higher than 1 in most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060197
This paper investigates if conclusions regarding labour market hysteresis differ depending on whether employment or … particular, rather than the mixed evidence for hysteresis found using unemployment rates, employment rates result in unequivocal … evidence of hysteresis in Australia, Canada and the U.S.. These findings cast doubt on previous conclusions in the literature. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321556
Markov models introduce persistence in the mixture distribution. In time series analysis, the mixture components relate to different persistent states characterizing the state-specific time series process. Model specification is discussed in a general form. Emphasis is put on the functional form...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011629990
the determination of the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU) over the last four decades. The authors … of imports, and aggregate capacity utilization were determinants of the NAIRU during the period. The same evidence also … shows that technical progress and changes in long-term unemployment did not affect the NAIRU. We believe this evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266535
NAIRU. The labour macro literature tries to explain unemployment dynamics and determine the real economic factors that drive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281022
This paper examines the effects of monetary policy shocks on UK regional economic growth and dispersion in a novel Constrained Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive framework. Compared to a standard MFVAR, the model partially accounts for missing quarterly observations for regional growth by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380981
A widely spread belief among economists is that monetary policy has relatively short-lived effects on real variables such as unemployment. Previous studies indicate that monetary policy affects the output gap only at business cycle frequencies, but the effects on unemployment may well be more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321638
This paper explores the evidence for positive hysteresis in the labor market. Using data from the National Longitudinal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030267
long-run impact on the productive capacity of the economy through hysteresis effects. These demand shocks are found to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661571
In this paper, we identify demand shocks that can have a permanent effect on output through hysteresis effects. We call … employment and investment, although output per worker is largely unaffected. We find strong evidence that hysteresis transmits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819001