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of the two elements leads to an inflation bias that is independent of the standard time-inconsistency bias. Secondly, we … an independent monetary policy. We find that inflation was the main determinant of central bank credit prior to 2007 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343285
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates … always in reaction to Fed announcements; and, (v) our impulse responses demonstrate that odds of extreme inflation outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030329
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321554
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585211
This study analyses India's inflation using the Phillips curve theory. To estimate an open-economy Phillips curve, we … need three variables: (1) inflation (2) the output gap and (3) the real effective exchange rate. In India, the incorrect … composite consumer price index (CCPI) was the best measure of inflation, and should be used to construct the real effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807665
This paper investigates the determinants of nominal yields of government bonds in the eurozone. The pooled mean group … yields of long-term government bonds in a set of 11 eurozone countries. Furthermore, autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011784679
The implementation of economic reforms under new economic policies in India was associated with a paradigmatic shift in monetary and fiscal policy. While monetary policies were solely aimed at "price stability" in the neoliberal regime, fiscal policies were characterized by the objective of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513081
short some 20 million jobs. Further, there is no reason to believe that the current exceptionally low inflation rates are … transitory. Quite the contrary: without significant fiscal efforts to restore the bargaining power of labor, inflation rates are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011784666
This paper analyzes the determinants of the interest rate of short-term unsecured loan inter-bank market (call) in Argentina. The results show that the heterogeneous nature of the entities, in terms of size and origin of ownership, impacts on the interest rate agreed. Other additional aspects,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325101
Recent research has found that the dynamic properties of the New Keynesian model can be very different when the nominal interest rate is zero. Improvements in technology and reductions in the labor tax rate lower economic activity, and the size of the government purchase output multiplier can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292223