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choices matter for output volatility and the medium-term level of inflation. Greater monetary independence is associated with … lower output volatility while greater exchange rate stability implies greater output volatility, which can be mitigated if a … inflation rate. We find that trilemma policy configurations affect output volatility through the investment or trade channel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331079
[Introduction ...] This paper examines the problems of the excessive volatility of capital inflows in emerging market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293298
Using a sample of 110 developed and developing countries for the period 1990-2004, this paper analyzes the characteristics of systemic sudden stops (3S) in capital flows and the relevance of balance-sheet effects in the likelihood of their materialization. A small supply of tradable goods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278271
In this paper, we examine the evolution of the S&P500 returns volatility around market crashes using a Markov …-Switching model. We find that volatility typically switches into the high volatility state well before a crash and remains in the high … volatility by uniformed traders result in a crash. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294846
The aim of this paper is to demonstrate how the change in actual and potential market risks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) during the two-year period 2007-2008 can be analyzed with the help of-analysis. In the empirical analysis, the average of the Lyapunov exponents for the dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321428
We examine the inflation targeting (IT) experiences of emerging market economies, focusing especially on the roles of the real exchange rate and the distinction between commodity and non-commodity exporting nations. In the context of a simple empirical model, estimated with panel data for 17...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285328
We examine the inflation targeting (IT) experiences of emerging market economies, focusing especially on the roles of the real exchange rate and the distinction between commodity and non-commodity exporting nations. In the context of a simple empirical model, estimated with panel data for 17...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288127
Social policies play a critical role in the transformation of emerging economies. This paper discusses this with reference to China and India, with their very distinctive public policy approaches. Much of the economics literature either does not pay much attention to social policy or regards it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397192
authorities of the two countries. However, eliminating the excess volatility of the exchange rate does not significantly alter the … overall macroeconomic volatility. Second, a floating exchange rate regime based on a Taylor-type rule seems to better … approximate the full price stability benchmark, but at the cost of boosting interest rate volatility. In this respect limiting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369971
With the euro's appearance in the world market, the competition between euro and dollar has become a hot-button issue. The author focuses on the movements of the euro/dollar exchange rate and probes into the determinants of its exchange rate. Their competition regarding invoicing and reserves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312722