Showing 1 - 10 of 208
choices matter for output volatility and the medium-term level of inflation. Greater monetary independence is associated with … lower output volatility while greater exchange rate stability implies greater output volatility, which can be mitigated if a … inflation rate. We find that trilemma policy configurations affect output volatility through the investment or trade channel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331079
We study the labor market effects of bilateral exchange rate realignment. We place emphasis on the composition of trade, the role of intermediates, and the underlying conditions of the labor market. Employment effects hinge on the fraction exported to and imported from the trading partner. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294878
This study provides quarterly time-series estimates of the misalignment in the REER of the Renminbi (RMB). The estimation is based on a commonly used economic approach, but with a wider and more up-to-date coverage of data and a more extensive use of econometric modelling techniques. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280745
[Introduction ...] This paper examines the problems of the excessive volatility of capital inflows in emerging market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293298
Did adoption of the gold standard exacerbate or diminish macroeconomic volatility? Supporters thought so, critics … the transmission of terms of trade shocks. Evidence on the relationship between real exchange rate volatility and terms of … trade volatility from the late nineteenth and early twentieth century exposes a dramatic change. The classical gold standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266408
Using a sample of 110 developed and developing countries for the period 1990-2004, this paper analyzes the characteristics of systemic sudden stops (3S) in capital flows and the relevance of balance-sheet effects in the likelihood of their materialization. A small supply of tradable goods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278271
This paper offers empirical evidence that real exchange rate volatility can have a signi.cant impact on the long … with relatively low levels of financial development, exchange rate volatility generally reduces growth, whereas for … rate volatility, and outliers. We also offer a simple monetary growth model in which real exchange rate uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430059
This paper investigates whether commodity convenience yields - the yields that accrue to the holders of physical commodities - can predict the exchange rate of commodity-exporters' currencies. Predictability is a consequence of the fact that i) convenience yields are useful predictors for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430096
This paper offers empirical evidence that real exchange rate volatility can have a significant impact on the long … with relatively low levels of financial development, exchange rate volatility generally reduces growth, whereas for … rate volatility, and outliers. We also oer a simple monetary growth model in which real exchange rate uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858527
In this paper, we examine the evolution of the S&P500 returns volatility around market crashes using a Markov …-Switching model. We find that volatility typically switches into the high volatility state well before a crash and remains in the high … volatility by uniformed traders result in a crash. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294846