Showing 1 - 10 of 1,075
empirical practice of omitting dividend growth from the system amounts to imposing the extra restriction that dividend growth is … not persistent. We highlight that persistence in dividend growth induces a previously overlooked channel for return … predictability, which we label "dividend momentum." Compared to estimation based on ordinary least squares, our restricted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819002
Models based on economic theory have serious problems at forecasting exchange rates better than simple univariate driftless random walk models, especially at short horizons. Multivariate time series models suffer from the same problem. In this paper, we propose to forecast exchange rates with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280768
contribute to expanding the host country's capital stock. The model suggests that greenfield FDI has a stronger impact on growth … than M&A sales. This hypothesis is supported by our empirical results, which show that greenfield FDI enhances growth …We explore the effect of foreign direct investment on economic growth in developing countries, distinguishing between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430093
We conduct an extensive robustness analysis of the relationship between trust and growth for a later time period (the … uncertainty, we use Least Trimmed Squares, a robust estimation technique, to identify outliers and investigate how they affect the … results. We find that the trust-growth relationship is less robust with respect to empirical specification and to countries in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321616
We obtain time series estimates of the long run growth rates of 17 OECD countries, and test the hypothesis that these … long run growth rates, and; (ii) any policies that can raise national growth rates must be international in scope. The … results therefore have bleak implications for the ability of countries to affect their long run growth rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318375
We estimate the impact of FDI on growth using sectoral data for FDI inflows to China and Vietnam. Previous empirical …. Our paper is the first to use sectoral FDI inflow data to evaluate the sector-specific impact of FDI on growth. Our … sectors appear to gain very little growth benefit from sectorspecific FDI. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285316
growth through capital accumulation. This paper contributes to this literature. As opposed to the previous studies, which … have mainly utilised panel-estimation methods, the tests of causal chains here are carried out in time-series settings …. Saving and GDP are estimated in bivariate vector autoregressive or vector error-correction models for Sweden, UK, and USA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321740
. We discuss two challenges to successful estimation of DSGE models: potential model misspecification and identification … problems. We argue that prior distributions and Bayesian estimation techniques are useful to cope with these challenges. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293445
If firms borrow working capital to finance production, then nominal interest rates have a direct influence on inflation dynamics, which appears to be the case empirically. However, interest rates may only partly mirror the cost of working capital. In this paper we explore the role of bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294872
It is common to transform data to stationarity, such as by differencing and demeaning, before estimating factor models in macroeconomics. Imposing these transformations, however, limit opportunities to learn about trending behaviour. Trends and deterministic processes can play a central role in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476233