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What is the risk of European sovereign debt defaults? Fiscal space, CDS spreads and market pricing of ristk
Aizenman, Joshua; Hutchison, Michael; Jinjarak, Yothin - 2011
, focusing in particular on the five countries in the South-West Eurozone Periphery (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain … emergence of TED spread as a key pricing factor. However, risk-pricing of the South-West Eurozone Periphery countries is not …. We find that Eurozone periphery default risk is priced much higher than the matched countries in 2010, even allowing for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287785
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ECB worries/European woes: The economic consequences of parochial policy
Barbera, Robert J.; Holtham, Gerald - 2012
Financial market crises with the threat of a subsequent debt-deflation depression have occurred with increasing regularity in the United States from 1980 through the present. Almost reflexively, when confronted with such circumstances, US institutions and the policymakers that run them have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318632
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In Pursuit of a Stable Stabilization Policy in Sweden. From the Gold Standard to Inflation Targeting and Beyond
Jonung, Lars - 2019
In a historical perspective, the stabilization policy regime in Sweden is in a state of constant change, affected by economic crises, international impulses, domestic politics, and developments in macroeconomic theory. Economists have been deeply involved in this process. The current framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208861
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The European Central Bank and why things are the way they are: A historic monetary policy pivot point and moment of (relative) clarity
Dubois, Robert - 2012
, financial, and political arenas. Apart from the eurozone crisis and global monetary policy issues, for nearly two years all else … divergence and political and social discord across member-states. Given the scale and scope of the eurozone crisis, policy and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286538
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An investment initiative for fiscally constrained EU member states: The role of synergetic financial instruments
Zeilbeck, Severin - 2015
The economy of the European Union has not recovered from the impact of the economic and financial crisis. Growth rates remain low and investment activity is weak. This questions current economic policies of the Economic and Monetary Union, known as austerity. In opposition to fiscal contraction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381297
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The euro crisis and the job guarantee: A proposal for Ireland
Wray, L. Randall - 2012
Euroland is in a crisis that is slowly but surely spreading from one periphery country to another; it will eventually reach the center. The blame is mostly heaped upon supposedly profligate consumption by Mediterraneans. But that surely cannot apply to Ireland and Iceland. In both cases, these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333043
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What is the risk of European sovereign debt defaults? Fiscal space, CDS spreads and market mispricing of risk
Aizenman, Joshua; Hutchison, Michael; Jinjarak, Yothin - 2011
We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for a large number of countries within and outside of Europe, before and after the global financial crisis, based on fiscal space and other economic fundamentals. We measure how accurately the model predicts CDS spreads based on fundamentals, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288119
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Debt and financial crises
Koh, Wee Chian; Kose, M. Ayhan; Nagle, Peter; Ohnsorge, … - 2020
Emerging market and developing economies have experienced recurrent episodes of rapid debt accumulation over the past fifty years. This paper examines the consequences of debt accumulation using a three-pronged approach: an event study of debt accumulation episodes in 100 emerging market and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388929
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Can this time be different? Policy options in times of rising debt
Kose, M. Ayhan; Nagle, Peter; Ohnsorge, Franziska; … - 2020
Episodes of debt accumulation have been a recurrent feature of the global economy over the past fifty years. Since 2010, emerging and developing economies have experienced another wave of historically large and rapid debt accumulation. Similar past debt buildups have often ended in widespread...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388936
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One Money, One Cycle? The EMU Experience
Gächter, Martin; Riedl, Aleksandra - 2013
We examine whether the introduction of the euro had a significantly positive impact on the synchronization of business cycles among members of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) which might arise due to the lack of country-specific monetary policy shocks in the euro area. Empirical evidence on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370103