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We combine self-collected historical data from 1867 to 1907 with CRSP data from 1926 to 2012, to examine the risk and return over the past 140 years of one of the most popular mechanical trading strategies - momentum. We find that momentum has earned abnormally high risk-adjusted returns - a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460679
I study the effect of public information disclosure in a market setting where private information acquisition exhibits strategic complementarity. To overcome the issue of equilibrium multiplicity, I introduce heterogeneous information cost and imperfect information on the cost distribution. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663140
Many postulated relations in finance imply that expected asset returns strictly increase in an underlying characteristic. To examine the validity of such a claim, one needs to take the entire range of the characteristic into account, as is done in the recent proposal of Patton and Timmermann...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316931
Many postulated relations in finance imply that expected asset returns should monotonically increase in a certain characteristic. To examine the validity of such a claim, one typically considers a finite number of return categories, ordered according to the underlying characteristic. A standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316938
order belief", on asset price volatility. The paper shows that heterogeneous expectations induce higher order beliefs and … that heterogeneous expectation asset pricing models thoretically generate more volatility than rational expectation models … results shows that a model with higher order beliefs generates a level of volatility in line with the price volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857785
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates, and equity prices in the U.S. Their simultaneous changes enable us to distinguish between a systematic and "exogenous" response to monetary-policy news. And, those tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030329
autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is … substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return … spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277265
This paper documents the significant role of ECNs in forming the inside market in NASDAQ securities. We argue that the ECNs need to be exposed to market orders through the SOES system.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334335
industries typically have high volatility of individual stocks' returns. Compared with indexes for the same period, expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292253
In the repo market, forward agreements are security-specific (i.e., there are no deliverable substitutes), which makes it an ideal place to measure the value of fluctuations in a security's available supply. In this study, we quantify the scarcity value of Treasury collateral by estimating the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352183