This paper studies the asset pricing implications of a general equi-librium model in which real investment is reversible at a cost. Firmsface higher costs in contracting than in expanding their capital stockand decide to invest when their productive capital is scarce relativeto the overall...

In the repo market, forward agreements are security-specific (i.e., there are no deliverable substitutes), which makes it an ideal place to measure the value of fluctuations in a security's available supply. In this study, we quantify the scarcity value of Treasury collateral by estimating the...

The Chinese government implemented the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) system in order to advance the quality of local capital markets by participation of foreign institutional investors. This paper identifies the channels through which foreign institutional investors influence...

This paper deals with asymptotically efficient estimation in exchangeable nonlinear dynamicpanel models with common unobservable factor. These models are especially relevantfor applications to large portfolios of credits, corporate bonds, or life insurance contracts, andare recommended in the...

The recursive prediction and filtering formulas of the Kalman filter are difficult to implementin nonlinear state space models. For Gaussian linear state space models, or for models with qualitativestate variables, the recursive formulas of the filter require the updating of a finite number...

Statistical analysis of Greek sovereign debt denominated in gold and traded on the London Stock Exchange from the outbreak of the First World War until the advent of the Great Depression is employed to explore the way that historical events including political and institutional changes shaped...

A large literature studies the predictability of stock returns by other lagged nancialvariables in a predictive regression setting. A common feature of widely used testingprocedures is a failing robustness, which may lead to misleading conclusions determinedby the particular features of a small...

We develop likelihood-based tests for autocorrelation and predictability in a first order non-Gaussian and noninvertible ARMA model. Tests based on a special case of the general model, referred to as an all-pass model, are also obtained. Data generated by an all-pass process are uncorrelated...

Many postulated relations in finance imply that expected asset returns strictly increase in an underlying characteristic. To examine the validity of such a claim, one needs to take the entire range of the characteristic into account, as is done in the recent proposal of Patton and Timmermann...

Many postulated relations in finance imply that expected asset returns should monotonically increase in a certain characteristic. To examine the validity of such a claim, one typically considers a finite number of return categories, ordered according to the underlying characteristic. A standard...