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autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is … substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return … spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277265
This paper analyzes the determinants of the interest rate of short-term unsecured loan inter-bank market (call) in Argentina. The results show that the heterogeneous nature of the entities, in terms of size and origin of ownership, impacts on the interest rate agreed. Other additional aspects,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325101
depend not only on the level of the discount factor but also on its volatility. Collusive prices and proÞts increase with a … higher discount factor level, but decrease with its volatility. These results have important implications not only for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318903
We review and construct consistent in-sample specification and out-of-sample model selection tests on conditional distributions and predictive densities associated with continuous multifactor (possibly with jumps) and (non)linear discrete models of the short term interest rate. The results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282832
This paper adresses the various methodological issues surrounding vector autoregressions, simultaneous equations, and chain reactions, and provides new evidence on the long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the US. It is argued that money growth is a superior indicator of the monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280760
a modest impact on the conditional volatility of retail interest rates. Even for the US we find that the effects of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294575
Financial turmoil is becoming a fact of life in Latin America. The 1990s have been characterized by enormous volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326956
the sustainability of a given public debt/GDP depends on the future volatility of the difference between real interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287758
neglected perspective that the vulnerabilities associated with a given public debt/GDP increase with the future volatility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288164
In this paper, we examine the evolution of the S&P500 returns volatility around market crashes using a Markov …-Switching model. We find that volatility typically switches into the high volatility state well before a crash and remains in the high … volatility by uniformed traders result in a crash. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294846