Showing 1 - 10 of 1,082
We examine the dynamic interaction of the population age structure, economic dependency, and fertility, paying particular attention to the role of intergenerational transfers. In the short run, a reduction in fertility produces a “demographic dividend” that allows for higher consumption. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318971
-cycle framework how individuals respond to recessions. Our focus is on the sharp increase in savings rates that have been observed in … times. We show that the rise in the aggregate savings ratio is driven by increases in uncertainty, rather than tighening of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500212
When the age of death is uncertain, individuals will leave bequestseven if they have no desired bequestssimply because they will hold wealth against the possibility of living longer. Bequests are accidental. Starting from a baseline level of Social Security benefits, an increase in benefits will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273827
In this paper I study how PAYG pension systems of the notional defined contribution type can be designed such that they remain financially stable in the presence of increasing life expectancy. For this to happen two crucial parameters must be set in an appropriate way. First, the remaining life...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370096
I investigate the effect of income on mortality of the pensioners, com- paring three subsequent policy periods in …- come on health. I estimate that lower pension did not change the mortality rate. The results are confirmed using both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294890
Population aging is primarily the result of past declines in fertility, which produced a decadeslong period in which the ratio of dependents to working age adults was reduced. Rising old-age dependency in many countries represents the inevitable passing of this “demographic dividend.”...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318977
We examine the role of declining mortality in explaining the rise of retirement over the course of the 20th century. We … of death. In an environment in which mortality is high, an individual who saved up for retirement would face a high risk …. As mortality falls, however, it becomes optimal to plan, and save for, retirement. We simulate our model using actual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319000
Economists working with numerical solutions to the optimal consumption/saving problem under uncertainty have long known that there are quantitatively important interactions between liquidity constraints and precautionary saving behavior This paper provides the analytical basis for those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293505
For the purpose of studying the consequences of the ageing of the Swedish population a group of scientists have enlarged the microsimulation model SESIM - originally developed at the Swedish Ministry of Finance - with modules that simulate health status, take up of sickness benefits, retirement,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321560
There is a rich literature analyzing the problems that will arise as the share of elderly and retired in the population increases in the near future. However, the locational decisions among the elderly as well as their implications in terms of taxes/transfers and of allocation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321598