Showing 1 - 10 of 1,660
Recent energy and food price surges, in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, have exacerbated inflation … pressuresthat are unusually high by the standards of the past two decades. High and rising inflation has prompted many emerging …. Inflation is expected to ease back towards targets over the medium-term as recent shocks unwind, but the 1970s experience is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373855
soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to …Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and … developments, the risk of stagflation-a combination of high inflation and sluggish growth-has risen. The recovery from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373857
We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the … near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR …) model. We report three main results. First, the decline in global inflation during the 2020 global recession was the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628460
This paper examines the global drivers of inflation in 55 countries over the 1970-2022 period. We estimate a Factor … domestic shocks. We report three main results. First, global shocks have explained about 26 percent of inflation variation in a … typical economy. Oil price shocks accounted for only about 4 percent of inflation variation, but they had a statistically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540885
This paper examines the impact of different types of oil price shocks on the U.S. economy, using a factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) approach. The results indicate that when examining the effects of oil price shocks, it is important to account for the interaction between the oil market and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143822
This paper shows that in ation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, the inflation rates … variance share that is associated with Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to … comovement of inflation comes largely from common shocks. Global Inflation is a function of real developments at short horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292130
markets now expect is not enough to reduce inflation to targets, experience from previous global recessions suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014541046
This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a … focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in …. Indeed, in EMDEs, long-term inflation expectations are more sensitive to both domestic and global inflation shocks. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060221
pronounced increase of aggregate US producer price inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430113
This paper investigates the changing behavior of inflation expectations in response to the macroeconomic and policy … environment. Using a panel of professional forecasters covering thirteen years of inflation targeting period from Turkey, we … present evidence on the behavioral shifts in the inflation expectations associated with evolving macroeconomic and policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628450