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Many postulated relations in finance imply that expected asset returns strictly increase in an underlying characteristic. To examine the validity of such a claim, one needs to take the entire range of the characteristic into account, as is done in the recent proposal of Patton and Timmermann...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316931
Many postulated relations in finance imply that expected asset returns should monotonically increase in a certain characteristic. To examine the validity of such a claim, one typically considers a finite number of return categories, ordered according to the underlying characteristic. A standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316938
Realized covariance matrices are often constructed under the assumption that richness of intra-day return data is greater than the portfolio size, resulting in non-singular matrix measures. However, when for example the portfolio size is large, assets suffer from illiquidity issues, or market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012654472
We develop likelihood-based tests for autocorrelation and predictability in a first order non-Gaussian and noninvertible ARMA model. Tests based on a special case of the general model, referred to as an all-pass model, are also obtained. Data generated by an all-pass process are uncorrelated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500219
to overall realized variation and their contribution to predictive regressions of realized volatility. We find evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282828
density cannot be identified. In general, this lack of identification precludes consistent estimation of identified parameters … turn facilitating consistent estimation of jump diffusion models. A "self excitement" test is also introduced, which is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011396835
estimation reveals point estimates of the share of efficient separations below 4%, with confidence intervals rejecting shares …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993806
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates, and equity prices in the U.S. Their simultaneous changes enable us to distinguish between a systematic and "exogenous" response to monetary-policy news. And, those tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030329
Stock and oil relationship is usually time-varying and depends on the current economic conditions. In this study, we propose a new Dynamic Stochastic Mixed data frequency sampling (DSM) copula model, that decomposes the stock-oil relationship into a short-run dynamic stochastic component and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013331916
We propose a joint modeling strategy for timing the joint distribution of the returns and their volatility. We do this … volatility, allowing for asymmetric cross-correlations, denoted as instantaneous leverage effects, in addition to cross …-autocorrelations between returns and volatility, denoted as intertemporal leverage effects. We show that while the conventional intertemporal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628462