This paper characterizes the business cycle as a recurring Markov chain for a broad set of developed and developing countries. The objective is to understand differences in cyclical phenomena across a broad range of countries based on the behavior of two key economic times series - industrial...

We apply Diebold-Yilmaz spillover index methodology to monthly industrial production indices to study business cycle interdependence among G-6 industrialized countries since 1958. The business cycle spillover index fluctuates substantially over time, increasing especially after the 1973-75,...

The principal argument for subsidizing foreign investment, especially in developing andtransition economies, is the assumed spillover of technology to local firms. Yet researchersreport mixed results on spillovers. To examine the phenomenon in a systematic way, wecollected 3,626 estimates from...

We review a large body of literature dealing with the effects of Foreign Direct Investment(FDI) on economies during their transformation from a command economic systemtoward a market system. We report the results of a meta-analysis based on the literatureon externalities from FDI. The studies on...

We conducted an anonymous survey in December 2013 asking around 200 economists worldwide to provide an interval (a to b) of average inflation in the US expected "over the next two years". The respondents were also instructed to give a probability of inflation being higher or lower than the...

This paper analyses the role of the intensity of output market competition, firm's technology and of the incidence of collective wage-bargaining on firm's adjustment strategies to adverse shocks using firm-level data for Macedonia. We find that international character of product market...

Electronic trading has transformed foreign exchange markets over the past decade, and the pace of innovation only accelerates. This formerly opaque market is now fairly transparent and transaction costs are only a fraction of their former level. Entirely new agents have joined the fray,...

Research on foreign exchange market microstructure stresses the importance of order flow, heterogeneity among agents, and private information as crucial determinants of short-run exchange rate dynamics. Microstructure researchers have produced empirically-driven models that fit the data...

Self-reported data on utilization of health care is a key input into a range of studies. However, the length of the recall period in self-reported health care questions varies between surveys and this variation may affect the results of the studies. While longer recall periods include more...

In most surveys, the risk of nonresponse is a factor taken into account at the planning stage. Commonly, resources are set aside for a follow-up procedure which aims at reducing the nonresponse rate. However, we should pay attention to the effect of nonresponse, rather than the nonresponse rate...