Showing 1 - 10 of 513
the age model outperforms the estimated benchmarks; i.e. two autoregressive models, an ARIMA and the 2 per cent forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321784
Population aging is primarily the result of past declines in fertility, which produced a decadeslong period in which the ratio of dependents to working age adults was reduced. Rising old-age dependency in many countries represents the inevitable passing of this “demographic dividend.”...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318977
Health economists have studied the determinants of the expected value of health status as a function of medical and nonmedical inputs, often finding small marginal effects of the former. This paper argues that both types of input have an additional benefit, viz. a reduced variability of health...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010315484
Much progress has been made in recent years on developing and applying a direct measure of utility using survey questions on subjective well-being. In this paper we explore whether this new type of measurement can be fruitfully applied to the study of interdependent utility in general, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010315555
This research explores the biocultural origins of human capital formation. It presents the first evidence that moderate fecundity and thus predisposition towards investment in child quality was conducive for long-run reproductive success within the human species. Using an extensive genealogical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526705
Are mortality and life expectancy differences by socioeconomic groups increasing in the United States? Using a unique … by lifetime earnings for the 1983 to 2003 period. The results indicate a consistent increase in mortality differentials … point to almost five decades of increasing differential mortality in the United States. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278201
We examine the role of declining mortality in explaining the rise of retirement over the course of the 20th century. We … of death. In an environment in which mortality is high, an individual who saved up for retirement would face a high risk …. As mortality falls, however, it becomes optimal to plan, and save for, retirement. We simulate our model using actual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319000
mortality. Our epidemiological analysis uses geographical information (e.g., municipalities) and negative binomial regression to … assess whether both ambient PM2.5 concentration and excess mortality have a similar spatial distribution. Our analysis … suggests a positive association of ambient PM2.5 concentration on excess mortality in Northern Italy related to the COVID-19 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269869
The most popular approach to modelling and forecasting mortality rates is the model of Lee and Carter (Modeling and … Forecasting U. S. Mortality, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87, 659–671, 1992). The popularity of the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208725
We assess quantitatively the effect of exogenous reductions in fertility on output per capita. Our simulation model allows for effects that run through schooling, the size and age structure of the population, capital accumulation, parental time input into child-rearing, and crowding of fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287727