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In the current paper, the finite-sample stability of various implementations of the KPSS test is studied. The implementations considered differ in how the so-called long-run variance is estimated under the null hypothesis. More specifically, the effects that the choice of kernel, the value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208507
-known residual-based test for cointegration in linear models by Engle and Granger (1987) and obtain its nonlinear analogue. We derive … cointegration, whereas the linear-based tests fail to do so. Further analysis of impulse response functions of error correction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284189
The 'saving for a rainy day' hypothesis implies that households' saving decisions reflect that they can (rationally) predict future income declines. The empirical relevance of this hypothesis plays a key role in discussions of fiscal policy multipliers and it holds under the null that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143864
The temporal interdependence between saving and output has been in focus in a number of recent empirical studies. Results from these studies have compelled some authors to question the traditional notion of a causal chain where saving leads growth through capital accumulation. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321740
In this paper, we address the issue of spurious correlation in the production of health in a systematic way. Spurious correlation entails the risk of linking health status to medical (and nonmedical) inputs when no links exist. This note first presents the bounds testing procedure as a method to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010315553
In the conduct of empirical macroeconomic research, unit root, cointegration, common cycle, and related test statistics … substantive effect that incorrect transformation can have on the finite sample performance of common feature and cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263220
In this paper, two tests for structural hypotheses on cointegration vectors are evaluated in a Monte Carlo study. The … cointegration vector, but the Johansen (1991) test fares slightly better than the Kwiatkowski et al (1992) test. Applying a Bartlett …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208469
We propose a new multivariate GARCH model with Dynamic Conditional Correlations that extends previous models by admitting multivariate thresholds in conditional volatilitiesand correlations. The model estimation is feasible in large dimensions and the positive definiteness of the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858198
We propose a simple class of semiparametric multivariate GARCH models, allowing for asymmetric volatilities and time-varying conditional correlations. Estimates for time-varying conditional correlations are constructed by means of a convex combination of estimates for averaged correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858366
When dealing with time series that are integrated of order one, the concept of cointegration becomes crucial for the … misspecified. This paper investigates the small sample performance of four well-known cointegration tests when a system has been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321641