Showing 1 - 10 of 618
Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods …. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are … included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292328
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489
The extent to which the stock market provides a hedge to investors against inflation is examined for African stock … elasticities of stock prices with respect to consumer prices range from 0.015 for Tunisia to 2.264 for South Africa, evidence of a … exhibits a transitory negative response for Egypt and South Africa, which becomes positive over longer horizons: important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273656
of this analysis is that the model overestimates output persistence in high inflation countries and underestimates output … persistence in low inflation countries. This has important implications not only for this model, but also for any economist …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280761
Economists have long emphasized the importance of expectations in determining macroeconomic outcomes Yet there has been almost no recent effort to model actual empirical expectations data; instead macroeconomists usually simply assume expectations are rational This paper shows that while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293441
explaining the deviations of household inflation and unemployment expectations from the rational expectations benchmark … demographic groups have sharply different predictions for macroeconomic aggregates like the inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293481
If firms borrow working capital to finance production, then nominal interest rates have a direct influence on inflation … empirical importance in explaining inflation dynamics in the US and in the euro area. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294872
In this paper we evaluate the relative influence of external versus domestic inflation drivers in the 12 new European … well supported in the new EU member states. We also find that the inflation process is dominated by domestic variables in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294894
Time series regressions indicate that age structure has significant forecasting power on Swedish inflation. The results … corresponding to the stipulated inflation target. The age model is also considerably better than the consensus forecasts and it is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321784
Inflation can "grease" the wheels of the labor market by relaxing downward wage rigidity but it can also increase … uncertainty and have a negative "sand" effect. This paper studies the grease effect of inflation by looking at whether the … interaction between inflation and labor market regulations affects how employment responds to changes in output. The results show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327053