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to overall realized variation and their contribution to predictive regressions of realized volatility. We find evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282828
The topic of volatility measurement and estimation is central to financial and more generally time series econometrics …. In this paper, we begin by surveying models of volatility, both discrete and continuous, and then we summarize some … developments in volatility models, with focus on time varying and stochastic volatility as well as nonparametric volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282858
volatility clustering in clock-time returns, even when trade- time returns are Gaussian. Finally, we highlight conditions on the … directing process which are required in order to generate proper volatility dynamics while simultaneously matching the … unconditional distribution of returns. In-sample fitting and out-of-sample realized volatility forecasting demonstrate the strength …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011406341
Many recent modelling advances in finance topics ranging from the pricing of volatility-based derivative products to … number of recent papers have addressed volatility predictability, some from the perspective of the usefulness of jumps in … forecasting volatility. Key papers in this area include Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), Corsi (2004), Andersen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334248
This study explores the benefits of incorporating fat-tailed innovations, asymmetric volatility response, and an … extended information set into crude oil return modeling and forecasting. To this end, we utilize standard volatility models … Stochastic Volatility (SV), along with Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regressions, which enable us to incorporate the impacts of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014331159
parametric short-memory models, can be used to estimate the long-memory stochastic volatility model parameters in the presence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420267
Many postulated relations in finance imply that expected asset returns strictly increase in an underlying characteristic. To examine the validity of such a claim, one needs to take the entire range of the characteristic into account, as is done in the recent proposal of Patton and Timmermann...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316931
Many postulated relations in finance imply that expected asset returns should monotonically increase in a certain characteristic. To examine the validity of such a claim, one typically considers a finite number of return categories, ordered according to the underlying characteristic. A standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316938
We use time-varying regression to model the relationship between returns in the Shanghai and New York stock markets, with possible inclusion of lagged returns. The parameters of the regressions reveal that the effect of current stock return of New York on Shanghai steadily increases after the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011132895
To analyze whether stock-market prices follow a random walk, the algebraic sign of their returns has been compared with a coin toss, which is a prominent example for a Bernoulli trial with equiprobable outcomes. Like coin tosses, signed returns lend themselves for a simple runs test for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476407