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, we study the implications of different inflation regimes on the racial unemployment gap. Higher trend inflation increases … facing exogenous differences in the job finding and separation rates. We use our setting to study the racial unemployment gap … two groups both in the level and volatility of unemployment. We show that the racial unemployment gap is counter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014333776
This paper explores the evolution and determinants of public support for the euro since its creation in 1999 until the end of 2017, thereby covering the pre-crisis experience of the euro, the crisis years and the recent recovery. Using uniquely large macro and micro databases and applying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208809
(persistent nonfrictional unemployment, unfair inequalities, and financial instability), their policy proposals do not lead to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818360
Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and … soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to … developments, the risk of stagflation-a combination of high inflation and sluggish growth-has risen. The recovery from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373857
Economists have long emphasized the importance of expectations in determining macroeconomic outcomes Yet there has been almost no recent effort to model actual empirical expectations data; instead macroeconomists usually simply assume expectations are rational This paper shows that while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293441
-have been carried out at no cost to output. After suggesting a new methodology that allows for long-lived effects and inflation … combination of circumstances-i.e. capital inflows, structural reforms and the peculiar recent inflation history-can explain that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293509
This paper examines the recent increase of the measured inflation rate to assess the degree to which the acceleration … pandemic relief. Some have attributed the inflation to excess demand, most notably Larry Summers, who had warned that the …, recovery would have been sufficiently slow to minimize inflation pressure. We closely examine the main contributors to rising …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322567
of this analysis is that the model overestimates output persistence in high inflation countries and underestimates output … persistence in low inflation countries. This has important implications not only for this model, but also for any economist …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280761
Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High … inflation, strong long-run comovement between RPV and Inflation is found for both economies, that extends to the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325092
It is commonly asserted that inflation is a jump variable in the New Keynesian Phillips curve, and thus wage …-price inertia does not imply inflation inertia. We show that this "inflation flexibility proposition" is highly misleading, relying … affect inflation, but are also influenced by it) the phenomenon of inflation inertia re-emerges. Under plausible parameter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281028