This paper investigates the persistence of aggregate wages and prices in Portugal assuming a model of a unionized … wages is attributable mainly to unemployment shocks (about 80 percent), whereas variation in the forecast errors of prices …). Productivity shocks explain somewhat less than 10 percent of the variation in forecast errors of wages and prices. JEL …

prices of most consumer goods. They are the main interface between producers of consumer goods and consumers, with around … substantial, as this accounts for, on average, about 25% of consumer prices. The purpose of this report is to analyse the … structural features of the distributive trades sector and the developments within it, as well as how these may influence prices …

This paper reviews the existing empirical evidence on the short-term impact on prices of fiscal variables and assesses … Commission and the OECD models. Overall, a broad consensus appears on the impact on prices of changes in individual government … limited impact on prices in the first year while, in contrast, changes in indirect taxes and employers' social security …

forecasting euro area manufacturing production. Following Boivin and Ng (2006), the emphasis is put on the role of dataset …

content and its potential use for fiscal forecasting and monitoring purposes. The models are estimated with annual and …

forecasting power of these models for the Japanese economy. In this paper, we aim at assessing the relative performance of factor …. For most of the components, we report that factor models yield lower forecasting errors than a simple AR process or an … improvements in terms of forecasting accuracy are found for more volatile periods, such as the recent financial crisis. However …