This paper introduces an easy to follow method for continuous time model estimation. It serves as an introduction on how to convert a state space model from continuous time to discrete time, how to decompose a hybrid stochastic model into a trend model plus a noise model, how to estimate the...

Although national accounts data provide the most comprehensive overview of economic activity, preliminary estimates are subject to much revision before they are regarded as reliable indicators. Oddly enough, the market acts on the preliminary estimates as though they were final and complete....

In this paper we build a hierarchically structured continuous-time model of Keynesian monetary growth. The model is sufficiently rich with respect to markets, sectors and agents and consistent with respect to budget constraints to capture sufficient broad details of actual macroeconomies and so...

In this study we present an alterntive approach to test whether the real estate and equity markets are cointegrated. We develop a nonlinear test which allows for a stochastic trend term as opposed to a deterministic drift term. This is a reasonable approach, because if the real estate market is...

In this paper we consider the 18D case model of applied disequilibrium growth whose extensive and intensive form dynamics we derived in earliier work. Here we analyze in particular the basic partial feedback mechanisms whose interaction drives the dynamics of the overall model. We relate these...

In this paper we reconsider extensions and modifications of earlier work on a disequilibrium model of AS-AD growth. Our dynamic model exhibits more or less sluggishly adjusting prices and quantities, Keynesian demand rationing and fluctuating capacity utilization for both labor and capital....

In this paper we analyze the link between stock market performance and macroe conomic performance for a large number of countries. We study the short-run and long-run relationships and find that stock market returns do not coherently predict future macroeconomic changes for the majority of...

Event studies indicate that divestitures create shareholder value. However, managers are generally disinclined to execute a divestiture due to their inherent preferences for growing the firm’s assets. Governance structures can play a significant role in restraining this agency conflict. Using...

We study two different safe haven assets, US government bonds and gold, and examine how the price changes of these assets can be used to infer investor behavior under uncertainty. We find that investors are ambiguity-averse, that is they buy gold when faced with extreme uncertainty about the...