This paper develops a structured dynamic factor model for the spreads between London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and overnight index swap (OIS) rates for a panel of banks. Our model involves latent factors which reflect liquidity and credit risk. Our empirical results show that surges in the...

This paper investigates the relationship between short term and long term inflation expectations in the US and the UK with a focus on inflation pass through (i.e. how changes in short term expecta tions affect long term expectations). An econometric methodology is used which allows us to uncover...

This paper investigates the relationship between short-term and long-term ination expectations using daily data on ination compen- sation. We use a exible econometric model which allows us to uncover this relationship in a data-based manner. We relate our …ndings to the issue of whether ination...

This paper discusses Bayesian inference in change-point models. The main existing approaches either attempt to be noninformative by using a Uniform prior over change-points or use an informative hierarchical prior. Both these approaches assume a known number ofchange-points. We show how they...