We construct inflation pressure indicators based on the long-run relationship that exists between monetary aggregates … determinants considering its long-run coefficients. Our results indicate that monetary policy has been congruent with the inflation …

seigniorage maximizing inflation rate, and (3) analysis of the potential relationship between a measure of excess money and … inflation. Results indicate that the low inflation equilibrium is stable, and that the excess money indicator shows, in …

This paper examines the effect of minimum wage changes on local aggregate inflation and consumption growth. The paper … effect on both city-level inflation and spending growth over the years following the change. The most noticeable effects are …

We provide evidence that households discretize their inflation expectations so that what matters for durable … consumption decisions is the broad inflation regime they expect. Using survey data, we document that a large share of the … adjustment in the average inflation expectation comes from the change in the share of households expecting stable prices; these …

regime driven by the exchange rate and a third one with inflation targeting. The result is a CVAR with constant long … framework, inflation dynamics in Mexico since the country abandoned the gold standard. The model encompasses known results … parsimonious, it does not require inflation lags nor dummy variables. It also displays a very good pseudo out-of-sample forecasting …

In this research paper ARCH-type models are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of an inflation …-index futures portfolio for several time-horizons. The empirical analysis is carried out for Mexican inflation-indexed futures … time horizons. These results have implications for short-term inflation forecasts. By estimating confidence intervals in …

We study the dynamics of inflation persistence in 45 countries for the period 1960-2008. We use a nonparametric unit … inflation data, and a test for multiple changes in persistence, which decomposes the sample information between adjacent I(0 …) and I(1) periods. We find that (1) With very few exceptions, inflation around the world rejects a unit root, (2) for …

This paper presents an analysis of the expected inflation distribution based on the surveys made to economic analysts …, dispersion, and skewness, of expected inflation. It is anticipated that the behavior of these aspects will be consistent with the … process of inflation convergence to its target, in the sense that the expected inflation level and dispersion, and the …