Empirical evidence shows that sovereign defaults are associated with significant downturns in economic activity in defaulting countries. However, the existing literature on sovereign debt and default mainly analyzes endowment economies and, therefore, does not address the relationship between...

This paper estimates the cash flow and real effects of currency mismatches generated by foreign-priced operations of French manufacturers. The value of transactions invoiced in foreign currencies is twice as sensitive to exchange rates as the value of transactions invoiced in the domestic...

The results in Chiquiar and Ramos-Francia (2005) suggested that the long-run relationship between the US's and Mexico's manufacturing sectors was weakened after China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO). When that paper was made, however, this shock was too recent and, therefore, the...

Emerging economies have been subject to abrupt reversals in capital inflows, which have adverse consequences for economic activity and financial stability. An important question for policymakers is how to respond to a sudden loss of external financing and its negative effects on the domestic...

Economic uncertainty is considered not only one of the main causes of recessions, but also a major obstacle to economic recovery. Recent studies find that significantly high levels of uncertainty could have a non-linear impact that amplifies the response of macroeconomic variables. The objective...

We exploit individual security holdings data for global mutual funds to distinguish between two reasons why a fund's holdings of emerging market economy (EME) bonds might change: (i) the amount invested in the fund changes and (ii) the fund manager changes portfolio allocations. We find that...

This paper analyzes recent changes in the relative importance of the determinants of capital flows to emerging market economies. For this purpose, we estimate vector autoregressive (VAR) models for the period 2009-2020. Based on these models, we estimate the effects on debt flows from shocks to...

This work studies the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and portfolio flows on house prices of emerging market economies using a static factors panel VARX model. The results show that an increase in both FDI and portfolio flows leads to higher house prices, but that portfolio flows have...

Germany has had a large and persistent current account surplus for the past almost two decades. We review different theoretical explanations of this phenomenon and conclude from the empirical litera-ture that Germany's external surplus reflects an imbalance that is a threat to macroeconomic...

In this paper we analyze the impact and persistence of shocks to global (push) and domestic (pull) factors on each component of the financial account for the Mexican Balance of Payments at the highest degree of disaggregation, including investment by foreign residents in Mexican public and...