Showing 1 - 10 of 232
This paper shows that a simple form of nonlinearity in the Phillips curve can explain why, following the Great Recession, inflation did not decrease as much as predicted by linear Phillips curves, a phenomenon known as the missing disinflation. We estimate a piecewise-linear specification and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012059585
This paper analyzes the exchange rate pass through to consumer prices in Mexico using different methodologies. First, we estimate Vector Autoregressive Models (VAR). Subsequently, we estimate Autoregressive Distributed Lags Models (ARDL) in order to make a long run analysis. In particular, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616382
We analyze the impact of shifts in the industrial composition of the economy on the distribution of the frequency of price change and its consequences for the slope of the Phillips curve for the United States. By combining product-level microdata on the frequency of price change with data on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014304780
This paper estimates the magnitude of the exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in Mexico. Moreover, it analyzes if the pass-through dynamics have changed in recent years. In particular, it uses a methodology that generates results consistent with the hierarchy implicit in the CPI. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322595
This paper analyzes the pass-through of exchange rate to different price indexes in Mexico. The analysis is based on a vector autoregressive model (VAR) using monthly data from January 1997 to December 2010. The pass-through effects are calculated by means of accumulated impulse response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322617
As a consequence of the international environment, the currencies of many emerging market economies have experienced important depreciations in a context of high volatility in financial markets. The Mexican peso has not been the exception to the above situation. In this setting, the exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011788937
This paper aims to investigate if the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to consumer prices follows a nonlinear behavior in Mexico. To look for nonlinearities, we employ a Threshold VAR approach (TVAR). The threshold allows us to differentiate regimes of "high" or "low" depreciation and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616388
The non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) is not directly observable and the presence of informal … formal job. In this paper, we present an estimation of the traditional NAIRU for Mexico and an alternative measure that … includes informality as an indicator of labor underutilization. We find that both measures of NAIRU and the associated labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616402
Inflation expectations are key to economic activity, and in the current economic climate of a heated labor market, they are central to the policy debate. At the same time, a growing literature on inattention suggests that individuals, and therefore individual behavior, may not be sensitive to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388950
This paper discusses the likely evolution of U.S. inflation in the near and medium term on the basis of (1) past U.S. experience with very low levels of inflation, (2) the most recent Japanese experience with deflation, and (3) recent U.S. micro evidence on downward nominal wage rigidity. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280881