Showing 1 - 10 of 146
We use an agent-based computational approach to show how inflation can worsen macroeconomic performance by disrupting … of inflation above 3 percent has a substantial deleterious effect, but lowering it below 3 percent has no significant … may fail to detect a significant negative effect of trend inflation on output even when such an effect exists in reality. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010925734
In this research paper ARCH-type models are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of an inflation …-index futures portfolio for several time-horizons. The empirical analysis is carried out for Mexican inflation-indexed futures … time horizons. These results have implications for short-term inflation forecasts. By estimating confidence intervals in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322620
We study the dynamics of inflation persistence in 45 countries for the period 1960-2008. We use a nonparametric unit … inflation data, and a test for multiple changes in persistence, which decomposes the sample information between adjacent I(0 …) and I(1) periods. We find that (1) With very few exceptions, inflation around the world rejects a unit root, (2) for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322567
This paper presents an analysis of the expected inflation distribution based on the surveys made to economic analysts …, dispersion, and skewness, of expected inflation. It is anticipated that the behavior of these aspects will be consistent with the … process of inflation convergence to its target, in the sense that the expected inflation level and dispersion, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322568
Empirical research on the degree and stability of inflation persistence in the US has produced mixed results: some …-WWII US inflation (monthly and quarterly) became highly persistent during the 'Great Inflation'period, and then switched back …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322575
This paper estimates the magnitude of the exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in Mexico. Moreover, it analyzes if the pass-through dynamics have changed in recent years. In particular, it uses a methodology that generates results consistent with the hierarchy implicit in the CPI. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322595
have decreased substantially from 2001 onwards, which coincides with the adoption of an inflation targeting regime by Banco …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322617
analysis proves that a higher degree of central bank independence would statistically improve the inflation performance in the … entire region and in the two subsamples, basically by lowering the inflation rates level and decreasing volatility. Finally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984912
production and inflation of manufactured goods in Mexico within the context of the pandemic. Under the identification of a … production and inflation of manufactured goods in the Northern and North-Central regions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540971
We construct inflation pressure indicators based on the long-run relationship that exists between monetary aggregates … determinants considering its long-run coefficients. Our results indicate that monetary policy has been congruent with the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445082