We analyze forecasts of inflation and GDP growth contained in Banco de México's Survey of Professional Forecasters for …

between inflation dynamics and rising market concentration. …

In this research paper ARCH-type models are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of an inflation …-index futures portfolio for several time-horizons. The empirical analysis is carried out for Mexican inflation-indexed futures … time horizons. These results have implications for short-term inflation forecasts. By estimating confidence intervals in …

inflation - is a central determinant of welfare, the cost of business cycles, the optimal rate of inflation, and the tradeoff … between inflation and output stability. While the comovement of price dispersion and inflation implied by standard models is … the data, the comovement of price dispersion and inflation turns positive. Nevertheless, I show that a wide variety of …

In this paper we apply a dynamic factor model to generate out of sample forecasts for the inflation rate in Mexico. We … disaggregated data to forecast inflation. Our data set contains 54 macroeconomic series and 243 CPI subcomponents from 1988 to 2008 … key variables in the economy such as output growth and inflation. …

on the PPI seems to be useful to improve forecasts of CPI inflation. In particular, CPI inflation responds significantly …