This paper addresses the measurement issues of systemic risk in the Thai banking sector. The concept of conditional value-at-risk (CoVaR), due to Adrian and Brunnermeier (2008), was used to quantify the level of systemic risk and financial linkages among six major Thai commercial banks over the...

The impending change in the global economic and nancial landscape will have important implications for the making of monetary policy in Thailand. This paper highlights two key challenges and proposes steps that can help strengthen the existing in ation targeting (IT) framework. First, we...

The effects of changes in wealth on consumption in Thailand are estimated, using a cross-sectional household survey conducted in 2010. It is found that consumption, after conditioning for income and household characteristics, is increasing in wealth, whether measured in terms of net worth or...

The current configuration of global imbalances, the financing that they entail, and the possible economic fallout that may occur as they unwind have become hot topics of discussion lately and understandably so since the scale and number of countries involved are unprecedented. The aim of this...

This paper attempts to conceptualize the debate regarding the role of asset prices and perceived financial imbalances in the formation of monetary policy from the perspective of theoretically optimal policy responses. While much of the disagreement can be reconciled within the framework of...

This paper aims to outline the role that effective exchange rates, both real and nominal, play in Thailand’s monetary policy framework. It discusses some of the applications that effective exchange rates have been applied to in practice, highlighting some of the limitations that often arise....

In this study, a computable general equilibrium model is developed and is used as a tool for measuring and analysing structural changes in the Thai economy. The technique of historical simulation is used to trace the patterns of structural changes during 1990 to 1995. These patterns of...

Dramatic declines in inflation rates across Asia and falling prices in some countries have recently heightened fears of deflation. This paper aims to shed light on this issue by reviewing the cross-country evidence in Asia and highlighting key observations about recent price developments in the...