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a rolling window framework. Moreover, we expand our analysis to detect the potential existence of chaos in the data â€¦
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011149767
This paper investigates the evolution of monetary transmission mechanism in Malawi between 1981 and 2010 using a time varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model with stochastic volatility. We evaluate how the responses of real output and general price level to bank rate, exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095485
The purpose of the study is to examine whether financial reforms implemented in the 1980s and 1990s altered the pattern of aggregate consumption behaviour in Malawi. More specifically, the study questions whether financial reforms affected consumption behaviour by reducing the excess sensitivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654184
This study applies wavelet analysis to examine the relationship between the U.S. real estate and stock markets over the period 1890-2012. Wavelet analysis allows the simultaneous examination of co-movement and causality between the two markets in both the time and frequency domains. Our findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010944775
indeterminate). In addition, we show that convergent or divergent endogenous fl uctuations and even topological chaos could emerge â€¦
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095439
This paper studies the interplay of fiscal policy and asset price returns of the United States in a time-varying-parameter vector autoregressive model. Using annual data from 1890 to 2013, we study the effects of dynamic shocks to both fiscal policy and asset returns on asset returns and fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212744
In this paper we test whether the key metals prices of gold and platinum significantly improve inflation forecasts for the South African economy. We also test whether controlling for conditional correlations in a dynamic setup, using bivariate Bayesian-Dynamic Conditional Correlation (B-DCC)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011199808
This paper examines the existence of long memory in daily stock market returns from Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa (BRICS) countries and also attempts to shed light on the efficacy of Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) models in predicting stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010765632
This paper investigates the existence of spillovers from stock prices onto consumption and the interest rate for South Africa using a time-varying vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model with stochastic volatility. In this regard, we estimate a three-variable TVP-VAR model comprising of real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010658702
This paper re-examines the stochastic properties of US State real per capita personal income, using new panel unit-root procedures. The new developments incorporate non-linearity, asymmetry, and cross-sectional correlation within panel data estimation. Including nonlinearity and asymmetry finds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095430